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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by [Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner]
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Kindle Edition

4.4 out of 5 stars 536 ratings

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Length: 328 pages Word Wise: Enabled Enhanced Typesetting: Enabled
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Review

The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone., Economist

A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended., Independent

This marvelous book tells an exciting story of ordinary people beating experts in a very serious game. It is also a manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it. -- Daniel Kahneman

Full of excellent advice – it is the best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity., The Times

Philip Tetlock has transformed the science of prediction., Spectator

The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow., Wall Street Journal

Fascinating and breezily written., Sunday Times

Superforecasting is a fascinating book., Daily Mail

Superforecasting is a very good book. In fact it is essential reading., Management Today

The best way to know if an idea is right is to see if it predicts the future. But which ideas, which methods, which people have a track record of non-obvious predictions vindicated by the course of events? The answers will surprise you, and they have radical implications for politics, policy, journalism, education, and even epistemology – how we can best gain knowledge about the world. The casual style of Superforecasting belies the profundity of its message. -- Steven Pinker

Book Description

A ground-breaking new work on improving our ability to predict future events.

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4.4 out of 5 stars
4.4 out of 5
536 customer ratings
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Reviewed in Australia on 15 August 2016
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Reviewed in Australia on 5 October 2015
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Reviewed in Australia on 6 June 2018
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Reviewed in Australia on 10 October 2018
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Reviewed in Australia on 30 January 2016
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Reviewed in Australia on 3 December 2017
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Reviewed in Australia on 10 November 2015
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Reviewed in Australia on 22 February 2018

Top international reviews

obiwan_9000
3.0 out of 5 stars I forecast waffle
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 19 August 2018
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Eff
5.0 out of 5 stars Learn the pitfalls and tips for forecasting
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 8 October 2018
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9 people found this helpful
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Friðrik Bragi Dýrfjörð
4.0 out of 5 stars Recommended for anyone interested in forecasting
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 4 December 2016
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Onosecond
5.0 out of 5 stars This book can change your life for the better.
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 7 April 2017
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Anya
4.0 out of 5 stars Worth a read
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 27 April 2020
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An amateur
4.0 out of 5 stars Surprisingly accessible
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 14 April 2020
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AG
5.0 out of 5 stars In a world where many of the more well known ...
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 5 April 2018
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Bohemian Bhav
5.0 out of 5 stars Not just for looking into the future.
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 17 February 2019
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Martin
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent book.
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 12 April 2016
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Perpetual Skeptic
5.0 out of 5 stars How to see more clearly
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 4 June 2017
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dan
4.0 out of 5 stars Interesting
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 22 June 2018
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DAVID L.
5.0 out of 5 stars Dom said read it.
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 22 February 2020
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M. Eliasen
3.0 out of 5 stars Overrated
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 9 January 2019
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Dennis Farcinsen Leth
5.0 out of 5 stars Common people have more knowledge than experts.
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 14 July 2018
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Jimw
5.0 out of 5 stars A great read
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 14 April 2020
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